Put/Call Ratio

One of the oldest contrarian sentiment indicators. Extreme readings often coincide with market turning points.

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How to read the ratio

Above 1.0 = more puts than calls (bearish sentiment, contrarian bullish). Below 0.5 = more calls than puts (bullish sentiment, contrarian bearish). Best used with a 10-day moving average.

Three ratios, three stories

Equity PCR: individual stock sentiment (retail-heavy). Index PCR: broad market hedging (institutional). Total PCR: everything combined but noisier.

Why contrarian?

When everyone is buying puts (fear), the bottom is often near. When everyone is buying calls (greed), the top is often near. Extreme readings are the signal.

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